Overachieve · matchup analysis
Brighton & Hove Albion.
Overall gradeAz +1.17
Performance vs opponent grade
PPG = actual points per game vs opponents of each grade. xPts = Poisson xG-derived expected points. zPPG is this team's PPG vs grade-tier compared to the rest of the league — anything ≥ +1.0σ means they consistently beat that tier better than peers.
| Opp grade | Sample | W-D-L | PPG | xPts | Δ (PPG − xPts) | zPPG (league) | zΔ (league) | League PPG (this tier) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avs A | 6 | 1-2-3 | 0.83 | — | — | -0.24σ | — | 0.97 |
| Bvs B | 8 | 1-2-5 | 0.63 | 0.77 | -0.15 | -1.16σ | +0.10σ | 1.15 |
| Cvs C | 12 | 5-4-3 | 1.58 | 2.01 | -0.43 | +0.39σ | -0.96σ | 1.43 |
| Dvs D | 8 | 3-3-2 | 1.50 | 1.57 | -0.07 | -0.18σ | -0.16σ | 1.62 |
| Evs E | 4 | 4-0-0 | 3.00 | 2.14 | +0.86 | +1.47σ | +1.12σ | 1.83 |
| Fvs F | No matches | |||||||
Higher z-scores = systematically beating that grade tier better than the rest of the league. Negative z-scores against weaker tiers (D/E/F) flag teams that drop unexpected points.